Reading 4-0 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
11%
4.18
X/2
9%
8.41
X/X
12%
4.74
2/1
11%
24.45
2/2
14%
6.47
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.43/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.08
+27% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
348 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 64%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.4 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.19 xG 1.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
331 Passes 192
75% Pass Accuracy 61%
23 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 1
04.09.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-0 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İN1
02.03.2002 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-2 HT 2-0 Reading Reading İN1
18.09.2001 Reading Reading 1-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
07.04.2001 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-1 Reading Reading İN1
02.12.2000 Reading Reading 3-0 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading
4-0
AWAY Cambridge United
0.65 xG 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
485 Passes 224
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reading vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading ran out comfortable winners over Cambridge United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Reading as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reading had 63% of the ball to Cambridge United's 37%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.65 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Reading had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Reading and 0.80 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Reading vs Cambridge United?

Reading 4-0 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Reading 44%, draw 27%, Cambridge United 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reading), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reading) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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