Charlton Athletic 1-2 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 Dec 2024

Charlton Athletic
1-2 HT 0-1
Crawley Town
📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Charlton Athletic vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 27% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.6
X/1
12%
3.76
X/2
10%
11.35
X/X
11%
5.79
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
12%
8.89
2/X
7%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Charlton Athletic v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.60/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.21
-13% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
337 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 69%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.9 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Charlton Athletic vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Crawley Town
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.23 xG 1.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
370 Passes 424
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
05.09.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 4-3 HT 2-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNTK
31.08.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 6-1 HT 3-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İNTK
21.07.2018 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic HAZ
29.08.2017 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNTK
04.10.2016 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İNTK

Charlton Athletic 1-2 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
1-2
AWAY Crawley Town
0.63 xG 0.59
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 0
225 Passes 306
60% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town nicked a narrow win over Charlton Athletic 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Charlton Athletic at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 47% of the ball to Crawley Town's 53%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.63 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.40 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Crawley Town?

Charlton Athletic 1-2 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 48%, draw 25%, Crawley Town 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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