Exeter City 2-2 Wycombe Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.86
1/2
8%
23.85
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
7%
7.93
X/2
17%
4.35
X/X
9%
5.04
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.54
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.9
Value flag · 2/X at 13.9 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Exeter City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 54%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.98/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.73
-30% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 71%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
20.5 Crosses 22.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Exeter City
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.57 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
264 Passes 182
66% Pass Accuracy 56%
28 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 1-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
05.08.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-2 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
04.03.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
16.08.2022 Exeter City Exeter City 3-1 HT 2-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
10.08.2021 Exeter City Exeter City 0-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNLK
10.02.2018 Exeter City Exeter City 1-1 HT 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Exeter City
2-2
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
0.99 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
309 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Exeter City vs Wycombe Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City and Wycombe Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wycombe Wanderers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Exeter City had 47% of the ball to Wycombe Wanderers's 53%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.99 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Exeter City and 0.50 for Wycombe Wanderers.

What was the final score of Exeter City vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Exeter City 2-2 Wycombe Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 31%, draw 26%, Wycombe Wanderers 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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