Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 27% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
17%
4.12
X/2
8%
8.92
X/X
11%
5.72
2/1
8%
21.35
2/2
16%
6.41
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.89/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.44
+52% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
395 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
22.3 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mansfield Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.91 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
282 Passes 242
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-3 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN2
03.11.2020 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Mansfield Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
349 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers and Mansfield Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bolton Wanderers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 52% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 48%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.50 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Mansfield Town?

Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Mansfield Town in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 45%, draw 26%, Mansfield Town 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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