Tranmere Rovers 3-0 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.02
6+ Goals
9%
9.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 31% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.68
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
10%
13.05
X/1
10%
4.72
X/2
14%
7.26
X/X
15%
5.31
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
14%
4.9
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-10.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+14.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-14.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.4pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.90/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.98
-25% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 69%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
10.0 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.91 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
212 Passes 257
62% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
09.08.2022 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-2 HT 2-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İNLK
07.11.2020 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley FAK
07.03.2020 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-2 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
07.12.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
17.01.2015 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
3-0
AWAY Accrington Stanley
2.29 xG 0.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
263 Passes 289
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers swept aside Accrington Stanley 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Tranmere Rovers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 49% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 51%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.29 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 0.83 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Tranmere Rovers 3-0 Accrington Stanley in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 36%, draw 30%, Accrington Stanley 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tranmere Rovers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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