Carlisle United vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Carlisle United v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Carlisle United 0-2 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City beat Carlisle United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Stoke City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Stoke City saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.25 to 1.41.
Carlisle United vs Stoke City Result & Final Score
Carlisle United 0 - 2 Stoke City in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Carlisle United vs Stoke City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 19%, draw 25%, Stoke City 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.