Carlisle United vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carlisle United v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Carlisle United 0-2 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City beat Carlisle United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stoke City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Carlisle United had 37% of the ball to Stoke City's 63%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.25 to 1.41.
What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Stoke City?
Carlisle United 0-2 Stoke City in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Stoke City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 28%, draw 26%, Stoke City 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.