Stockport County 1-6 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
59%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
21%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.02 — our 27% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
11.9
1/2
9%
20.9
1/X
4%
19.85
X/1
5%
16.05
X/2
25%
3.61
X/X
11%
7.48
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.61
2/X
7%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
59%
Away Win
68%
-8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 72%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/1.00
+18% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +132% / -24%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
201 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 487 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.08.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers HAZ
28.07.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers HAZ
14.04.2001 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
04.11.2000 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
1-6
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.16 xG 2.50
28% Ball Possession 72%
3 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 8
245 Passes 767
75% Pass Accuracy 91%
4 Box Touches 47
7 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers swept aside Stockport County 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Blackburn Rovers as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stockport County had 28% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 72%, shots finished 3-24, expected goals 0.16 to 2.50.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Stockport County and 1.00 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Blackburn Rovers?

Stockport County 1-6 Blackburn Rovers in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 19%, draw 23%, Blackburn Rovers 59%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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