Crawley Town vs Swindon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Crawley Town v Swindon Town — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs Swindon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Crawley Town 4-2 Swindon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Crawley Town took care of Swindon Town 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crawley Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came home.
Under the surface, Crawley Town had 63% of the ball to Swindon Town's 37%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.57 to 2.31 — by the quality of chances, Swindon Town deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crawley Town and 1.83 for Swindon Town.
Crawley Town vs Swindon Town Result & Final Score
Crawley Town 4 - 2 Swindon Town in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Crawley Town vs Swindon Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 42%, draw 25%, Swindon Town 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crawley Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.