Crawley Town vs Swindon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crawley Town v Swindon Town — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs Swindon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-0
HT 1-0
Crawley Town
İN2
2-1
HT 2-0
Crawley Town
İN2
2-0
HT 0-0
Swindon Town
İN2
3-1
HT 1-0
Swindon Town
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Crawley Town
İN2
Crawley Town 4-2 Swindon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Crawley Town beat Swindon Town 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Crawley Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Crawley Town had 63% of the ball to Swindon Town's 37%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.57 to 2.31 — on chances, Swindon Town could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crawley Town and 1.83 for Swindon Town.
What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
Crawley Town 4-2 Swindon Town in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 39%, draw 24%, Swindon Town 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crawley Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.