Mansfield Town vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mansfield Town v Bolton Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Mansfield Town vs Bolton Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Mansfield Town
İN2
Mansfield Town 2-1 Bolton Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Mansfield Town squeezed past Bolton Wanderers 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Mansfield Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mansfield Town had 33% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 67%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.86 to 1.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bolton Wanderers.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Mansfield Town and 2.00 for Bolton Wanderers.
What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Bolton Wanderers?
Mansfield Town 2-1 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Bolton Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 36%, draw 27%, Bolton Wanderers 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.