Burton Albion 2-2 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.29
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.85
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
8%
6.59
X/2
17%
5.14
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
18%
3.03
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.85 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.03/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.89
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
17.7 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Peterborough United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.11 xG 2.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
179 Passes 499
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.12.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-1 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
09.03.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-3 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
25.11.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 4-0 HT 2-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
14.03.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-5 HT 1-3 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
08.10.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-1 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
06.03.2021 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
2-2
AWAY Peterborough United
1.39 xG 1.44
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
231 Passes 463
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion and Peterborough United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Peterborough United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Burton Albion had 38% of the ball to Peterborough United's 62%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 1.39 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Burton Albion and 2.33 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Peterborough United?

Burton Albion 2-2 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 28%, draw 26%, Peterborough United 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peterborough United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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