Cambridge United 1-3 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.35
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
17%
5.17
X/2
11%
6.03
X/X
11%
4.81
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.16
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -20%
1.20/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.51
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.2 Crosses 19.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Reading
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.11
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
203 Passes 440
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2024 Reading Reading 3-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
16.03.2024 Reading Reading 4-0 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
04.09.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-0 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İN1
02.03.2002 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-2 HT 2-0 Reading Reading İN1
18.09.2001 Reading Reading 1-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
07.04.2001 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-1 Reading Reading İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
1-3
AWAY Reading
2.03 xG 1.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
176 Passes 202
62% Pass Accuracy 65%
33 Box Touches 18
40 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading got the better of Cambridge United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cambridge United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cambridge United had 50% of the ball to Reading's 50%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.03 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reading led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cambridge United and 1.83 for Reading.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Reading?

Cambridge United 1-3 Reading in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 42%, draw 25%, Reading 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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