Northampton Town 0-0 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2025

Northampton Town
0-0 HT 0-0
Stevenage
📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Northampton Town vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
5.0
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.88
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
7%
16.7
X/1
7%
7.77
X/2
13%
3.94
X/X
14%
3.94
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.69
2/X
7%
15.95
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.88 — our 18% vs market 10.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+8.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-8.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Northampton Town v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.90/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.00
-18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
246 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 70%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
18.9 Crosses 20.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Northampton Town vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stevenage
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.56 xG 1.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
151 Passes 258
52% Pass Accuracy 63%
13 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.12.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 2-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
26.12.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 3-0 HT 2-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
05.08.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
01.04.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
22.10.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 2-3 HT 1-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
15.03.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2

Northampton Town 0-0 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
0-0
AWAY Stevenage
0.48 xG 0.85
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
155 Passes 309
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northampton Town and Stevenage played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Northampton Town had 37% of the ball to Stevenage's 63%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.48 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Northampton Town and 1.67 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Stevenage?

Northampton Town 0-0 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 32%, draw 28%, Stevenage 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stevenage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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