Stockport County 1-1 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.27
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
13%
7.56
X/2
16%
4.15
X/X
16%
4.22
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.72
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.88/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.79
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
241 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 72%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.0 Crosses 18.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Birmingham
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.69 xG 1.36
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
188 Passes 481
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.12.2024 Birmingham Birmingham 2-0 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
29.12.2001 Stockport County Stockport County 0-3 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
27.08.2001 Birmingham Birmingham 2-1 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İNCL
17.03.2001 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
17.10.2000 Birmingham Birmingham 4-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
1-1
AWAY Birmingham
0.99 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
280 Passes 252
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 11
40 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County and Birmingham couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Birmingham at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stockport County had 53% of the ball to Birmingham's 47%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 0.99 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Birmingham led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Stockport County and 2.20 for Birmingham.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Birmingham?

Stockport County 1-1 Birmingham in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 32%, draw 27%, Birmingham 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Birmingham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
1 Jan 2025
18:00 Northampton Town vs Stevenage Analysis →
18:00 Blackpool vs Shrewsbury Analysis →
18:00 Lincoln City vs Rotherham United Analysis →
18:00 Mansfield Town vs Bolton Wanderers Analysis →
18:00 Cambridge United vs Reading Analysis →
18:00 Burton Albion vs Peterborough United Analysis →