Birmingham 2-0 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 4 Dec 2024

Birmingham
2-0 HT 2-0
Stockport County
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Birmingham vs Stockport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
15.25
X/1
19%
3.96
X/2
10%
9.8
X/X
10%
5.36
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
7%
7.59
2/X
6%
16.0
Value flag · 1/X at 15.25 — our 11% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham v Stockport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 23%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +23%
1.82/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.58
+25% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
24.7 Crosses 8.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Birmingham vs Stockport County Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Stockport County
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
The Meetings
29.12.2001 Stockport County Stockport County 0-3 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
27.08.2001 Birmingham Birmingham 2-1 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İNCL
17.03.2001 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
17.10.2000 Birmingham Birmingham 4-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İNCL

Birmingham 2-0 Stockport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
2-0
AWAY Stockport County
1.36 xG 0.69
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
481 Passes 188
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham beat Stockport County 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Birmingham had 67% of the ball to Stockport County's 33%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.36 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Birmingham had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Birmingham and 0.75 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Stockport County?

Birmingham 2-0 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 48%, draw 27%, Stockport County 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Under 2.5
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