Shrewsbury 1-2 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 30% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.83
1/2
7%
24.7
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
13%
6.9
X/2
11%
4.81
X/X
10%
4.94
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
22%
2.91
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -19%
0.92/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.23
-11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
238 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 75%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.4 Crosses 20.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Blackpool
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 1.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
192 Passes 369
61% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
18.11.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 4-0 HT 2-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
24.04.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 0-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
29.12.2020 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
21.12.2019 Blackpool Blackpool 0-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
19.01.2019 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
1-2
AWAY Blackpool
1.30 xG 0.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
153 Passes 216
56% Pass Accuracy 63%
19 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool squeezed past Shrewsbury 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Blackpool made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 45% of the ball to Blackpool's 55%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shrewsbury.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.00 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Blackpool?

Shrewsbury 1-2 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 33%, draw 27%, Blackpool 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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