Accrington Stanley 1-3 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
9.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.05
1/2
9%
22.6
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
12%
7.28
X/2
11%
4.54
X/X
8%
5.27
2/1
12%
33.5
2/2
20%
2.62
2/X
10%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.24/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.97
-12% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 72%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
22.2 Crosses 12.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.70 xG 1.51
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
157 Passes 331
57% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
22.02.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-2 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNTK
22.10.2022 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-3 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
18.04.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
11.12.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-0 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
29.02.2020 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
1-3
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.79 xG 2.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
218 Passes 277
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers got the better of Accrington Stanley 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Bolton Wanderers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 45% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 55%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.79 to 2.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.33 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Bolton Wanderers?

Accrington Stanley 1-3 Bolton Wanderers in the England - Futbol League Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 34%, draw 25%, Bolton Wanderers 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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