Blackpool 2-1 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1.88
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1
18%
3.7
X/2
13%
11.55
X/X
9%
5.99
2/1
6%
21.75
2/2
12%
8.91
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
17.25
Value flag · 2/X at 17.25 — our 12% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.09/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+6% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +90%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 71%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.9 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Burton Albion
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
274 Passes 224
68% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
05.08.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 2-0 HT 2-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
16.03.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
31.10.2020 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-2 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
26.10.2019 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
16.03.2019 Burton Albion Burton Albion 3-0 HT 2-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
2-1
AWAY Burton Albion
1.66 xG 0.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 326
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool nicked a narrow win over Burton Albion 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Blackpool had 48% of the ball to Burton Albion's 52%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.66 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Blackpool and 1.00 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Burton Albion?

Blackpool 2-1 Burton Albion in the England - Futbol League Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 41%, draw 26%, Burton Albion 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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