Lazio vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
0-1
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
3-0
HT 3-0
Lazio
İTA
3-2
HT 2-1
Roma
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Lazio
İTA
Lazio 1-0 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio squeezed past Roma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Lazio had 43% of the ball to Roma's 57%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.67 to 0.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lazio and 1.17 for Roma.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Roma?
Lazio 1-0 Roma in the Italy - Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lazio 41%, draw 33%, Roma 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.