Milan vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
Milan
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Atalanta
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Milan
İTA
2-0
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
2-3
HT 0-2
Milan
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
Milan 1-2 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta squeezed past Milan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Atalanta made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Milan had 62% of the ball to Atalanta's 38%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.56 to 1.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Milan and 1.00 for Atalanta.
What was the final score of Milan vs Atalanta?
Milan 1-2 Atalanta in the Italy - Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Atalanta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Milan 39%, draw 26%, Atalanta 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.