CA La Paz 1-1 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 10 Jan 2024

CA La Paz
1-1 HT 0-0
Monarcas Morelia
📅10/01/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+7.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CA La Paz v Monarcas Morelia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 39%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.90/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.57
+53% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.1

CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0 Corners 6
The Meetings
11.09.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
20.01.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-3 HT 2-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
18.09.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 4-2 HT 2-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz and Monarcas Morelia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CA La Paz at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CA La Paz and 3.00 for Monarcas Morelia.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia?

CA La Paz 1-1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 44%, draw 27%, Monarcas Morelia 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA La Paz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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