Cimarrones de Sonora 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 10 Jan 2024

Cimarrones de Sonora
1-1 HT 1-1
Leones Negros Udeg
📅10/01/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Cimarrones de Sonora vs Leones Negros Udeg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
22%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.3pp
22%
Away Win
30%
-7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cimarrones de Sonora v Leones Negros Udeg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cimarrones de Sonora EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -9%
1.46/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.21
-2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 5.0

Cimarrones de Sonora vs Leones Negros Udeg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cimarrones de Sonora
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
The Meetings
31.07.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 4-2 HT 2-2 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
19.01.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 HT 0-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
11.08.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 2-1 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
14.02.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 2-3 HT 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
14.11.2021 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 HT 3-2 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
12.03.2021 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 HT 0-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
POST-MATCH Cimarrones de Sonora vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cimarrones de Sonora and Leones Negros Udeg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cimarrones de Sonora at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cimarrones de Sonora and 2.17 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Cimarrones de Sonora vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Cimarrones de Sonora 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cimarrones de Sonora vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cimarrones de Sonora win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cimarrones de Sonora 46%, draw 32%, Leones Negros Udeg 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cimarrones de Sonora) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cimarrones de Sonora) ✓ BTTS Yes
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