Al Safa 4-6 Al Quadisiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒15:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Quadisiya EU Bookmakers 60%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.01/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.33
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
4-6
AWAY Al Quadisiya
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al Quadisiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quadisiya beat Al Safa 6-4 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Quadisiya as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 6-4 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Safa had 43% of the ball to Al Quadisiya's 57%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al Quadisiya?

Al Safa 4-6 Al Quadisiya in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al Quadisiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Quadisiya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 24%, draw 24%, Al Quadisiya 51%. The final score 4-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Quadisiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Quadisiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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