Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
2-5
HT 1-3
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
3-4
HT 2-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen nicked a narrow win over Borussia Dortmund 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 70% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 30%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.35 to 1.64.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.67 for Bayer Leverkusen.
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 35%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.