Perth Glory (K) 1-1 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 10 Jan 2025

Perth Glory (K)
1-1 HT 1-1
Sydney (K)
📅10/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Perth Glory (K) vs Sydney (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.74
Over
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No Pick
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
35%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+9.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.6pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory (K) v Sydney (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.23/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.17
+40% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
223 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
13.0 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Perth Glory (K) vs Sydney (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.08 xG 1.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
225 Passes 292
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
01.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-3 HT 0-3 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
16.02.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 4-2 HT 2-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
21.12.2018 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW

Perth Glory (K) 1-1 Sydney (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1-1
AWAY Sydney (K)
0.52 xG 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
258 Passes 288
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perth Glory (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory (K) and Sydney (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 49% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 51%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.52 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 2.75 for Sydney (K).

What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Perth Glory (K) 1-1 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 34%, draw 25%, Sydney (K) 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sydney (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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