MC Alger vs TP Mazembe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MC Alger v TP Mazembe — Team-Based Signals
MC Alger vs TP Mazembe Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
TP Mazembe
CAFŞL
1-0
HT 0-0
MC Alger
CAFŞL
MC Alger 1-0 TP Mazembe — Actual Match Statistics
MC Alger edged past TP Mazembe 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, MC Alger had 56% of the ball to TP Mazembe's 44%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.77 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold MC Alger's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, TP Mazembe led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for MC Alger and 0.67 for TP Mazembe.
What was the final score of MC Alger vs TP Mazembe?
MC Alger 1-0 TP Mazembe in the CAF Champions League on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MC Alger vs TP Mazembe?
Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 63%, draw 22%, TP Mazembe 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.