TP Mazembe 0-0 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.53
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
14%
8.18
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.7pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.1pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TP Mazembe EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TP Mazembe
1W-1D-0L
AWAY MC Alger
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
288 Passes 398
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
5 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2018 MC Alger MC Alger 1-1 HT 0-0 TP Mazembe TP Mazembe CAFŞL
17.07.2018 TP Mazembe TP Mazembe 1-0 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TP Mazembe
0-0
AWAY MC Alger
0.54 xG 0.44
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
316 Passes 174
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH TP Mazembe vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TP Mazembe and MC Alger fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was TP Mazembe at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, TP Mazembe had 61% of the ball to MC Alger's 39%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.54 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, TP Mazembe had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for TP Mazembe and 0.50 for MC Alger.

What was the final score of TP Mazembe vs MC Alger?

TP Mazembe 0-0 MC Alger in the CAF Champions League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TP Mazembe vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a TP Mazembe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split TP Mazembe 43%, draw 34%, MC Alger 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (TP Mazembe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TP Mazembe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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