Pyramids 5-1 Sagrada Esperança — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 26% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-12.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.5pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagrada Esperança EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+28% / -76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +137%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
442 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
5-1
AWAY Sagrada Esperança
3.64 xG 2.58
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
462 Passes 246
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
48 Box Touches 18
37 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs Sagrada Esperança
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids cruised past Sagrada Esperança 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pyramids had 63% of the ball to Sagrada Esperança's 37%, shots finished 23-16, expected goals 3.64 to 2.58.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs Sagrada Esperança?

Pyramids 5-1 Sagrada Esperança in the CAF Champions League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs Sagrada Esperança?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 63%, draw 22%, Sagrada Esperança 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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