Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 Maniema Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.33
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 27% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
70%
-2.5pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Maniema Union EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
468 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
0-0
AWAY Maniema Union
1.29 xG 0.71
77% Ball Possession 23%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 5
598 Passes 120
89% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Maniema Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns and Maniema Union fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Mamelodi Sundowns carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 77% of the ball to Maniema Union's 23%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.29 to 0.71.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Maniema Union?

Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 Maniema Union in the CAF Champions League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Maniema Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 68%, draw 17%, Maniema Union 15%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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