Al Ahly 4-2 Stade d Abidjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
12%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
3.05
No
66%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
8%
8.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 30% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-17.0pp
23%
Draw
13%
+10.5pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
34%
BTTS Yes
29%
+5.1pp
66%
BTTS No
71%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade d Abidjan EU Bookmakers 8%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 71%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
4-2
AWAY Stade d Abidjan
3.15 xG 0.84
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
499 Passes 280
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Stade d Abidjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly saw off Stade d Abidjan 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahly had 61% of the ball to Stade d Abidjan's 39%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 3.15 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Stade d Abidjan?

Al Ahly 4-2 Stade d Abidjan in the CAF Champions League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Stade d Abidjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 64%, draw 23%, Stade d Abidjan 12%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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