Auxerre 0-0 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 10 Jan 2025

Auxerre
0-0 HT 0-0
Lille
📅10/01/2025 · 🕒23:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Auxerre vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 27% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.37
1/2
7%
23.85
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
8%
9.67
X/2
12%
4.12
X/X
16%
5.08
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.24
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.0pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.7pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-10.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auxerre v Lille — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 58%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.51/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.14
+37% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -2%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 84%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
17.2 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Auxerre vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lille
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.05 xG 2.71
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
277 Passes 581
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.04.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 1-1 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
07.08.2022 Lille Lille 4-1 HT 3-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
18.12.2021 Lille Lille 3-1 HT 3-0 Auxerre Auxerre FRK
29.10.2013 Lille Lille 0-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FRLK
03.03.2012 Lille Lille 2-2 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
15.10.2011 Auxerre Auxerre 1-3 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1

Auxerre 0-0 Lille — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
0-0
AWAY Lille
0.82 xG 1.47
29% Ball Possession 71%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
162 Passes 512
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Auxerre vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auxerre and Lille played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lille at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Auxerre had 29% of the ball to Lille's 71%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.82 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Auxerre and 2.17 for Lille.

What was the final score of Auxerre vs Lille?

Auxerre 0-0 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 25%, draw 31%, Lille 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lille) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Under 2.5
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