Nantes vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nantes v Monaco — Team-Based Signals
Nantes vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 2-1
Monaco
FR1
2-2
HT 0-2
Monaco
FR1
4-1
HT 3-0
Nantes
FR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Monaco
FRK
0-0
HT 0-0
Monaco
FR1
Nantes 2-2 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics
Nantes and Monaco shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Monaco at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nantes had 31% of the ball to Monaco's 69%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.81 to 3.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nantes and 2.50 for Monaco.
What was the final score of Nantes vs Monaco?
Nantes 2-2 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nantes vs Monaco?
Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nantes 26%, draw 28%, Monaco 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.