Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli Jeddah v Al Shabab Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
2-1
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SAKK
3-4
HT 2-2
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
3-0
HT 1-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
Al Ahli Jeddah 3-2 Al Shabab Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli Jeddah squeezed past Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 46% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 54%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 4.55 to 0.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ahli Jeddah's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.67 for Al Shabab Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Al Ahli Jeddah 3-2 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 49%, draw 27%, Al Shabab Riyadh 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.