Al Shabab Riyadh 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
0.94/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.25
-13% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
14.3 Crosses 22.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.49
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 339
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
27.06.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
21.02.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SAKK
01.01.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-4 HT 2-2 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
22.02.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
23.11.2020 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
1-2
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.87 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
266 Passes 374
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah edged past Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 44% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 56%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.87 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.00 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Shabab Riyadh 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 30%, draw 27%, Al Ahli Jeddah 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
11 May 2024
18:00 Al Raed vs Al Taee Analysis →
18:00 Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Hazm Analysis →