Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Al Hazm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 May 2024

Al Hilal Riyadh
4-1 HT 4-1
Al Hazm
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Hazm Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
17.6
2-3 Goals
37%
3.4
4-5 Goals
33%
2.32
6+ Goals
11%
2.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
85%
-17.5pp
19%
Draw
8%
+10.8pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Hazm — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.54/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.34
+0% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -17%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
472 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
40.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
25.5 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Hazm Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Hazm
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.56 xG 0.91
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
510 Passes 205
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
39 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Al Hazm Al Hazm 0-9 HT 0-3 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
30.10.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SAKK
26.02.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
30.09.2021 Al Hazm Al Hazm 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
29.08.2020 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 HT 2-1 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
26.12.2019 Al Hazm Al Hazm 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD

Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Al Hazm — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4-1
AWAY Al Hazm
3.35 xG 0.91
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
646 Passes 210
92% Pass Accuracy 79%
41 Box Touches 20
33 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Hazm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh ran out comfortable winners over Al Hazm 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 72% of the ball to Al Hazm's 28%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 3.35 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.50 for Al Hazm.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Hazm?

Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Al Hazm in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Hazm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 68%, draw 19%, Al Hazm 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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