Al Raed 1-1 Al Taee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taee EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.60/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.22
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.4 Crosses 20.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Taee
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.66 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
300 Passes 373
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2023 Al Taee Al Taee 4-3 HT 1-2 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
05.04.2023 Al Taee Al Taee 2-2 HT 2-2 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
10.10.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Taee Al Taee SUUD
07.05.2022 Al Taee Al Taee 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
03.11.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Taee Al Taee SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
1-1
AWAY Al Taee
0.65 xG 0.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
415 Passes 247
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Taee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed and Al Taee shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Raed had 62% of the ball to Al Taee's 38%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.65 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Taee led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Al Raed and 2.00 for Al Taee.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Taee?

Al Raed 1-1 Al Taee in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Taee?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 40%, draw 27%, Al Taee 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Raed) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Raed) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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