Las Palmas 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.2
6+ Goals
10%
20.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 33% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.8
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
11%
4.66
X/2
11%
7.77
X/X
12%
4.14
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
15%
6.21
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.27/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.54
+13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
16.3 Crosses 12.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
383 Passes 336
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2020 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
13.10.2019 Las Palmas Las Palmas 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
10.03.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
03.11.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
17.03.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
29.11.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
2.00 xG 1.22
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
465 Passes 254
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas and Deportivo La Coruna shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Las Palmas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Las Palmas had 62% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 38%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.00 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Las Palmas and 1.17 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Las Palmas 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 44%, draw 25%, Deportivo La Coruna 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Las Palmas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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