Burgos vs Eibar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Eibar — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Eibar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Eibar
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
Burgos 1-0 Eibar — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos squeezed past Eibar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Burgos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Burgos had 51% of the ball to Eibar's 49%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Burgos and 0.33 for Eibar.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Eibar?
Burgos 1-0 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Eibar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Burgos 40%, draw 29%, Eibar 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.