Burgos vs Eibar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Eibar — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Eibar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Eibar
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
1-2
HT 1-0
Eibar
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Eibar
İS2
Burgos 1-0 Eibar — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos squeezed past Eibar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Burgos had 57% of the ball to Eibar's 43%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.94 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Burgos's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Burgos and 1.00 for Eibar.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Eibar?
Burgos 1-0 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Eibar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Burgos 44%, draw 28%, Eibar 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.