Malaga 0-0 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 23 Nov 2024

Malaga
0-0 HT 0-0
Racing Santander
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Malaga vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.04
6+ Goals
10%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 31% vs market 28.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.22
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
12%
5.86
X/2
16%
5.21
X/X
14%
4.28
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
14%
3.57
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malaga v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.12/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.23
-32% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
20.4 Crosses 16.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2

Malaga vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.16 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
312 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2023 Malaga Malaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
01.10.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
23.02.2020 Malaga Malaga 2-0 HT 2-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
17.08.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
09.04.2012 Malaga Malaga 3-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS1
21.11.2011 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-3 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS1

Malaga 0-0 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
0-0
AWAY Racing Santander
2.23 xG 1.77
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
237 Passes 343
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga and Racing Santander fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Malaga had 42% of the ball to Racing Santander's 58%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.23 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malaga had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Malaga and 0.33 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Racing Santander?

Malaga 0-0 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Malaga 32%, draw 28%, Racing Santander 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Santander) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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