Cartagena vs Almeria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cartagena v Almeria — Team-Based Signals
Cartagena vs Almeria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Cartagena
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-1
Cartagena
İS2
1-3
HT 0-2
Almeria
İS2
3-2
HT 1-1
Almeria
İS2
1-1
HT 0-1
Cartagena
İS2
Cartagena 1-2 Almeria — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria nicked a narrow win over Cartagena 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Cartagena had 35% of the ball to Almeria's 65%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.40 to 2.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Almeria's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cartagena and 1.33 for Almeria.
What was the final score of Cartagena vs Almeria?
Cartagena 1-2 Almeria in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Almeria?
Before kick-off our model rated an Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 27%, draw 25%, Almeria 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.