Eibar vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Eibar v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Eibar vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Eibar
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
1-2
HT 1-0
Eibar
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Eibar
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Eibar
İS2
Eibar 0-1 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos edged past Eibar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Eibar had 71% of the ball to Burgos's 29%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.63 to 0.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eibar and 0.33 for Burgos.
What was the final score of Eibar vs Burgos?
Eibar 0-1 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Eibar vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Eibar 51%, draw 25%, Burgos 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Eibar) went the other way.