Alcorcon 1-1 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 Mar 2024

Alcorcon
1-1 HT 0-0
Espanyol
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Alcorcon vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.48
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.57
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
15%
6.37
X/2
15%
4.41
X/X
18%
3.33
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.34
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.8pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alcorcon v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.01/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.71
-23% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +92%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.9 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Alcorcon vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Espanyol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.38 xG 1.72
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
233 Passes 479
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 2-0 HT 1-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
30.05.2021 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
10.10.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
22.12.2016 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İSPK
29.11.2016 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İSPK
15.01.2014 Espanyol Espanyol 4-2 HT 2-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İSPK

Alcorcon 1-1 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-1
AWAY Espanyol
0.63 xG 0.62
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
183 Passes 362
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and Espanyol couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Alcorcon had 37% of the ball to Espanyol's 63%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.63 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alcorcon and 1.50 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Espanyol?

Alcorcon 1-1 Espanyol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 35%, draw 31%, Espanyol 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alcorcon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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