Levante 1-0 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 35% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
12%
4.49
X/2
8%
7.27
X/X
17%
4.12
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
12%
5.63
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.37/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.26
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.8 Crosses 16.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.02 xG 0.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.12.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
06.01.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İS2
31.10.2022 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
04.04.2016 Levante Levante 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS1
22.11.2015 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-3 HT 0-3 Levante Levante İS1
11.04.2012 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-2 HT 1-1 Levante Levante İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
1-0
AWAY Sporting Gijon
2.49 xG 1.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
287 Passes 430
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levante vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante squeezed past Sporting Gijon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levante as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Levante had 42% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 58%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.49 to 1.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Levante's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Levante and 0.67 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Levante vs Sporting Gijon?

Levante 1-0 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Levante 41%, draw 32%, Sporting Gijon 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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