Villarreal II 0-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
42%
2.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.59
6+ Goals
5%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 42% vs market 32.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.85
1/2
4%
30.0
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
7%
7.31
X/2
18%
4.48
X/X
12%
3.82
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.9
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.2pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.0pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.21/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.75
-7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
15.0 Crosses 26.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Elche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 2.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 360
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
07.04.2012 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
05.11.2011 Elche Elche 3-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
16.05.2011 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
02.01.2011 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-1 HT 1-1 Elche Elche İS2
30.04.2010 Elche Elche 2-3 HT 0-2 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
0-1
AWAY Elche
2.09 xG 1.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
316 Passes 407
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche squeezed past Villarreal II 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Villarreal II had 45% of the ball to Elche's 55%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.09 to 1.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Villarreal II.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Villarreal II and 1.17 for Elche.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Elche?

Villarreal II 0-1 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 28%, draw 25%, Elche 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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