Eibar vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Eibar v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Eibar vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Eibar
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
1-2
HT 1-0
Eibar
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
Eibar 1-0 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Eibar nicked a narrow win over Burgos 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; Eibar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Eibar had 49% of the ball to Burgos's 51%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.26 to 0.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eibar and 0.67 for Burgos.
What was the final score of Eibar vs Burgos?
Eibar 1-0 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Eibar vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eibar 40%, draw 29%, Burgos 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.