Cartagena 1-0 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 May 2025

Cartagena
1-0 HT 1-0
Tenerife
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Cartagena vs Tenerife Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 32% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.76
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
10%
14.25
X/1
11%
7.58
X/2
16%
4.71
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.76
2/X
10%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cartagena v Tenerife — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 50%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.93/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.71
-36% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +105%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.1 Crosses 12.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Cartagena vs Tenerife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tenerife
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.60 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
334 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
12.05.2024 Cartagena Cartagena 2-0 HT 2-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
26.11.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
22.01.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 0-1 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
12.10.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
06.08.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 1-1 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife HAZ

Cartagena 1-0 Tenerife — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
1-0
AWAY Tenerife
1.63 xG 1.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
405 Passes 385
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena nicked a narrow win over Tenerife 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tenerife at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cartagena had 51% of the ball to Tenerife's 49%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.63 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cartagena and 0.83 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Tenerife?

Cartagena 1-0 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 26%, draw 32%, Tenerife 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tenerife) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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