Tenerife 2-0 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.36
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.36
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.65
X/1
17%
3.66
X/2
12%
9.22
X/X
11%
3.94
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
9%
8.45
2/X
9%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.5pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.57/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.57
-9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.4 Crosses 17.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cartagena
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
314 Passes 333
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Cartagena Cartagena 2-0 HT 2-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
26.11.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
22.01.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 0-1 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
12.10.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
06.08.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 1-1 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife HAZ
29.05.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 1-2 HT 0-2 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
2-0
AWAY Cartagena
1.98 xG 0.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
285 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife got the better of Cartagena 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tenerife as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tenerife had 45% of the ball to Cartagena's 55%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.98 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tenerife and 1.00 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Cartagena?

Tenerife 2-0 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 44%, draw 28%, Cartagena 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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