Almeria vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Almeria
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
Almeria 2-0 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria saw off Burgos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Almeria had 39% of the ball to Burgos's 61%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 2.43 to 1.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Almeria and 0.00 for Burgos.
What was the final score of Almeria vs Burgos?
Almeria 2-0 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Almeria 49%, draw 25%, Burgos 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.