Racing Ferrol 1-0 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

Racing Ferrol
1-0 HT 1-0
Elche
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Racing Ferrol vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
6.2
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.9
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.0
X/1
12%
5.82
X/2
13%
4.71
X/X
15%
3.39
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.64
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.7pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Ferrol v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.19/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.17
+31% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.9 Crosses 26.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Racing Ferrol vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Elche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.04 xG 0.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
252 Passes 392
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
12.08.2023 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
17.02.2008 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
15.09.2007 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
26.02.2006 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
24.09.2005 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2

Racing Ferrol 1-0 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-0
AWAY Elche
0.69 xG 0.54
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
161 Passes 549
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol squeezed past Elche 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) promised a tight game; Racing Ferrol found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 28% of the ball to Elche's 72%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.69 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Ferrol and 0.33 for Elche.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Elche?

Racing Ferrol 1-0 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 32%, draw 33%, Elche 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Elche) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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