Racing Ferrol 1-0 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 31 Mar 2024

Racing Ferrol
1-0 HT 0-0
Elche
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Racing Ferrol vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.53
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.03
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
8%
6.11
X/2
19%
4.66
X/X
18%
3.55
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.43
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Ferrol v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.95/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.13
+51% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.5 Crosses 23.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Racing Ferrol vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Elche
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.76 xG 0.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
291 Passes 392
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
17.02.2008 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
15.09.2007 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
26.02.2006 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
24.09.2005 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
30.04.2005 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-1 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2

Racing Ferrol 1-0 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-0
AWAY Elche
1.31 xG 0.18
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
212 Passes 391
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol edged past Elche 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Elche at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 38% of the ball to Elche's 62%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.31 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Racing Ferrol and 0.50 for Elche.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Elche?

Racing Ferrol 1-0 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 27%, draw 29%, Elche 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Elche) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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